FC Twente
3-2
PSV Eindhoven
FC Twente – PSV Eindhoven
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.60 – 2.05
The short version
Final score: FC Twente 3-2 PSV Eindhoven. The model predicted a win for PSV Eindhoven (49 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.60 goals for FC Twente and 2.05 for PSV Eindhoven. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 44 %. Over their last five matches, FC Twente took 13 points and PSV Eindhoven 13 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for FC Twente, 0 draws, 5 wins for PSV Eindhoven. Over 2.5 goals: 71 %. Both teams to score: 70 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Twente | 2.89 | 33 % | -18.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 24 % | -9.4 % |
| 2PSV Eindhoven | 2.17 | 44 % | +6.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
FC Twente
- Last 5 matches
- At home
PSV Eindhoven
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- FC Twente
- 0 draws
- 5 wins
- PSV Eindhoven
- PSV Eindhoven5-1FC Twente
- FC Twente0-2PSV Eindhoven
- FC Twente1-3PSV Eindhoven
- PSV Eindhoven6-1FC Twente
- PSV Eindhoven1-0FC Twente
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of FC Twente – PSV Eindhoven?
Final score: FC Twente 3-2 PSV Eindhoven. The model predicted a win for PSV Eindhoven (49 %): missed prediction.
Who will win FC Twente – PSV Eindhoven?
Our model gives 2 · PSV Eindhoven a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Twente win 28 %, draw 23 %, PSV Eindhoven win 49 %.