AZ Alkmaar
1-0
Telstar
AZ Alkmaar – Telstar
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 78 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.67 – 0.83
The short version
Final score: AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Telstar. The model predicted a win for AZ Alkmaar (78 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.67 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 0.83 for Telstar. Bookmakers say the same thing: 76 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, AZ Alkmaar took 10 points and Telstar 2 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for AZ Alkmaar, 0 draws, 0 wins for Telstar. Over 2.5 goals: 68 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AZ Alkmaar | 1.26 | 76 % | -1.9 % |
| XDraw | 6.25 | 15 % | -11.1 % |
| 2Telstar | 10.25 | 9 % | -18.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AZ Alkmaar
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Telstar
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- AZ Alkmaar
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Telstar
- AZ Alkmaar2-1Telstar
- Telstar0-1AZ Alkmaar
- AZ Alkmaar2-1Telstar
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AZ Alkmaar – Telstar?
Final score: AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Telstar. The model predicted a win for AZ Alkmaar (78 %): correct prediction.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar – Telstar?
Our model gives 1 · AZ Alkmaar a 78 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AZ Alkmaar win 78 %, draw 14 %, Telstar win 8 %.