Norwich City
3-4
Bolton Wanderers
Norwich City – Bolton Wanderers
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 59 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.97 – 0.97
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Norwich City 3-4 Bolton Wanderers. The model predicted a win for Norwich City (59 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 1.97 goals for Norwich City and 0.97 for Bolton Wanderers. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 66 %. Over their last five matches, Norwich City took 6 points and Bolton Wanderers 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Norwich City | 1.41 | 66 % | -17.4 % |
| XDraw | 4.88 | 19 % | +14.1 % |
| 2Bolton Wanderers | 6.50 | 14 % | +15.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Norwich City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Bolton Wanderers
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Norwich City – Bolton Wanderers?
Final score: Norwich City 3-4 Bolton Wanderers. The model predicted a win for Norwich City (59 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Norwich City – Bolton Wanderers?
Our model gives 1 · Norwich City a 59 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Norwich City win 59 %, draw 23 %, Bolton Wanderers win 18 %.