Predictions are closed for this match.
Kalmar FF
02:00 PM
Sep 20
BK Häcken
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kalmar FF | 2.60 | 36 % | -17.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 27 % | -4.5 % |
| 2BK Häcken | 2.55 | 37 % | +5.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Kalmar FF
BK Häcken
| Kalmar FF | Form and statistics | BK Häcken |
|---|---|---|
| 1417 | Elo | 1537 |
| 0.70 | Goals scored / match | 1.20 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded / match | 1.20 |
| 11.4 | Shots / match | 14.3 |
| 10 % | Win rate | 30 % |
| 7 | Rest days | 8 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 2 · BK Häcken a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kalmar FF win 32 %, draw 27 %, BK Häcken win 41 %.
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 48 %, and both teams scoring at 53 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 2.60 for Kalmar FF, 3.55 for the draw, 2.55 for BK Häcken.
Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (Allsvenskan), at Guldfageln Arena.
The model leans towards BK Häcken away from home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.18 goals for Kalmar FF and 1.43 for BK Häcken. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Kalmar FF took 1 point and BK Häcken 8 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Kalmar FF, 1 draw, 1 win for BK Häcken. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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