Getafe
1-0
Málaga
Getafe – Málaga
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.24 – 1.07
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Getafe 1-0 Málaga. The model predicted a win for Getafe (39 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.24 goals for Getafe and 1.07 for Málaga. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 50 %. Over their last five matches, Getafe took 2 points and Málaga 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 41 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Getafe | 1.90 | 50 % | -26.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 30 % | -0.8 % |
| 2Málaga | 4.70 | 20 % | +41.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Getafe
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Málaga
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Getafe – Málaga?
Final score: Getafe 1-0 Málaga. The model predicted a win for Getafe (39 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Getafe – Málaga?
Our model gives 1 · Getafe a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Getafe win 39 %, draw 31 %, Málaga win 30 %.