Antwerp
0-2
Union St.-Gilloise
Antwerp – Union St.-Gilloise
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 68 %
- Most likely score
- 0-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.97 – 2.37
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Antwerp 0-2 Union St.-Gilloise. The model predicted a win for Union St.-Gilloise (68 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.97 goals for Antwerp and 2.37 for Union St.-Gilloise. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 61 %. Over their last five matches, Antwerp took 4 points and Union St.-Gilloise 15 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Antwerp, 1 draw, 4 wins for Union St.-Gilloise. Over 2.5 goals: 65 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Antwerp | 5.25 | 18 % | -31.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.37 | 21 % | -17.8 % |
| 2Union St.-Gilloise | 1.52 | 61 % | +3.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Antwerp
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Union St.-Gilloise
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Antwerp
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- Union St.-Gilloise
- Union St.-Gilloise2-1Antwerp
- Antwerp1-1Union St.-Gilloise
- Antwerp0-4Union St.-Gilloise
- Union St.-Gilloise5-1Antwerp
- Union St.-Gilloise2-1Antwerp
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Antwerp – Union St.-Gilloise?
Final score: Antwerp 0-2 Union St.-Gilloise. The model predicted a win for Union St.-Gilloise (68 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Antwerp – Union St.-Gilloise?
Our model gives 2 · Union St.-Gilloise a 68 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Antwerp win 13 %, draw 19 %, Union St.-Gilloise win 68 %.