Predictions are closed for this match.
Hannover 96
01:30 PM
Sep 20
VfL Bochum
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hannover 96 | 1.93 | 49 % | +9.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.88 | 24 % | -11.5 % |
| 2VfL Bochum | 3.52 | 27 % | -28.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Hannover 96
VfL Bochum
| Hannover 96 | Form and statistics | VfL Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| 1572 | Elo | 1492 |
| 2.40 | Goals scored / match | 1.20 |
| 1.70 | Goals conceded / match | 0.90 |
| 18.5 | Shots / match | 12.7 |
| 30 % | Win rate | 50 % |
| 8 | Rest days | 8 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Hannover 96 a 57 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Hannover 96 win 57 %, draw 23 %, VfL Bochum win 20 %.
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 57 %, and both teams scoring at 56 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.93 for Hannover 96, 3.88 for the draw, 3.52 for VfL Bochum.
Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (2. Bundesliga), at HDI Arena.
The model leans towards Hannover 96 at home (57 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.88 goals for Hannover 96 and 1.08 for VfL Bochum. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 49 %. Over their last five matches, Hannover 96 took 7 points and VfL Bochum 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Hannover 96, 2 draws, 0 wins for VfL Bochum. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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