Energie Cottbus
1-1
St. Pauli
Energie Cottbus – St. Pauli
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.77 – 1.40
The short version
Final score: Energie Cottbus 1-1 St. Pauli. The model predicted a win for Energie Cottbus (45 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.77 goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.40 for St. Pauli. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 30 %. Over their last five matches, Energie Cottbus took 4 points and St. Pauli 5 points. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 63 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Energie Cottbus | 3.10 | 30 % | +40.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 24 % | -1.6 % |
| 2St. Pauli | 2.08 | 45 % | -39.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Energie Cottbus
- Last 5 matches
- At home
St. Pauli
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Energie Cottbus – St. Pauli?
Final score: Energie Cottbus 1-1 St. Pauli. The model predicted a win for Energie Cottbus (45 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Energie Cottbus – St. Pauli?
Our model gives 1 · Energie Cottbus a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Energie Cottbus win 45 %, draw 26 %, St. Pauli win 29 %.