Celtic
0-1
Rangers
Celtic – Rangers
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 59 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.12 – 1.10
The short version
Final score: Celtic 0-1 Rangers. The model predicted a win for Celtic (59 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.12 goals for Celtic and 1.10 for Rangers. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 43 %. Over their last five matches, Celtic took 12 points and Rangers 12 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Celtic, 3 draws, 1 win for Rangers. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Celtic | 2.17 | 43 % | +28.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.52 | 27 % | -28.3 % |
| 2Rangers | 3.10 | 30 % | -36.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Celtic
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Rangers
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Celtic
- 3 draws
- 1 win
- Rangers
- Celtic3-1Rangers
- Rangers0-0Celtic
- Rangers2-2Celtic
- Celtic1-3Rangers
- Rangers0-0Celtic
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Celtic – Rangers?
Final score: Celtic 0-1 Rangers. The model predicted a win for Celtic (59 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Celtic – Rangers?
Our model gives 1 · Celtic a 59 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Celtic win 59 %, draw 20 %, Rangers win 20 %.