Wolverhampton Wanderers
01:00 PM
Sep 20
West Bromwich Albion
Wolverhampton Wanderers – West Bromwich Albion
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:54 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.81 – 0.96
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Wolverhampton Wanderers at home (57 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.81 goals for Wolverhampton Wanderers and 0.96 for West Bromwich Albion. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 51 %. Over their last five matches, Wolverhampton Wanderers took 7 points and West Bromwich Albion 8 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers, 0 draws, 0 wins for West Bromwich Albion. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1.85 | 51 % | +6.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -16.7 % |
| 2West Bromwich Albion | 4.05 | 23 % | -20.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Last 5 matches
- At home
West Bromwich Albion
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Form and statistics | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|
| 1546 | Elo | 1481 |
| 2.00 | Goals scored / match | 1.70 |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded / match | 1.30 |
| 14.5 | Shots / match | 11.4 |
| 50 % |
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- West Bromwich Albion
- West Bromwich Albion0-2Wolverhampton Wanderers
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wolverhampton Wanderers – West Bromwich Albion?
Our model gives 1 · Wolverhampton Wanderers a 57 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Wolverhampton Wanderers win 57 %, draw 23 %, West Bromwich Albion win 20 %.
What is the most likely score for Wolverhampton Wanderers – West Bromwich Albion?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
