Sporting CP
2-2
Arouca
Sporting CP – Arouca
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 78 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.55 – 0.82
The short version
Final score: Sporting CP 2-2 Arouca. The model predicted a win for Sporting CP (78 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.55 goals for Sporting CP and 0.82 for Arouca. Bookmakers say the same thing: 82 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sporting CP took 13 points and Arouca 7 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for Sporting CP, 1 draw, 0 wins for Arouca. Over 2.5 goals: 65 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sporting CP | 1.14 | 82 % | -10.5 % |
| XDraw | 8.00 | 12 % | +12.6 % |
| 2Arouca | 14.00 | 7 % | +6.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sporting CP
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Arouca
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- Sporting CP
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Arouca
- Arouca1-2Sporting CP
- Sporting CP6-0Arouca
- Sporting CP2-2Arouca
- Arouca0-3Sporting CP
- Arouca0-3Sporting CP
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sporting CP – Arouca?
Final score: Sporting CP 2-2 Arouca. The model predicted a win for Sporting CP (78 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Sporting CP – Arouca?
Our model gives 1 · Sporting CP a 78 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sporting CP win 78 %, draw 14 %, Arouca win 8 %.