Willem II
0-1
Fortuna Sittard
Willem II – Fortuna Sittard
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.28 – 1.61
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Willem II 0-1 Fortuna Sittard. The model predicted a win for Fortuna Sittard (42 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.28 goals for Willem II and 1.61 for Fortuna Sittard. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 36 %. Over their last five matches, Willem II took 2 points and Fortuna Sittard 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Willem II, 1 draw, 1 win for Fortuna Sittard. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Willem II | 2.48 | 38 % | -24.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.73 | 25 % | +1.1 % |
| 2Fortuna Sittard | 2.63 | 36 % | +10.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Willem II
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Fortuna Sittard
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Willem II
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Fortuna Sittard
- Fortuna Sittard1-0Willem II
- Willem II0-0Fortuna Sittard
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Willem II – Fortuna Sittard?
Final score: Willem II 0-1 Fortuna Sittard. The model predicted a win for Fortuna Sittard (42 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Willem II – Fortuna Sittard?
Our model gives 2 · Fortuna Sittard a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Willem II win 31 %, draw 27 %, Fortuna Sittard win 42 %.