Sevilla
1-3
Barcelona
Sevilla – Barcelona
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 69 %
- Most likely score
- 0-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.94 – 2.45
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona. The model predicted a win for Barcelona (69 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.94 goals for Sevilla and 2.45 for Barcelona. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 75 %. Over their last five matches, Sevilla took 10 points and Barcelona 15 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Sevilla, 0 draws, 4 wins for Barcelona. Over 2.5 goals: 66 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sevilla | 9.00 | 11 % | +18.7 % |
| XDraw | 6.50 | 15 % | +15.8 % |
| 2Barcelona | 1.27 | 75 % | -12.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sevilla
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Barcelona
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Sevilla
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- Barcelona
- Barcelona5-2Sevilla
- Sevilla4-1Barcelona
- Sevilla1-4Barcelona
- Barcelona5-1Sevilla
- Sevilla1-2Barcelona
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sevilla – Barcelona?
Final score: Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona. The model predicted a win for Barcelona (69 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Sevilla – Barcelona?
Our model gives 2 · Barcelona a 69 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sevilla win 13 %, draw 18 %, Barcelona win 69 %.