Anderlecht
08:45 PM
Sep 19
Zulte-Waregem
Anderlecht – Zulte-Waregem
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.66 – 1.10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Anderlecht at home (50 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.66 goals for Anderlecht and 1.10 for Zulte-Waregem. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 55 %. Over their last five matches, Anderlecht took 7 points and Zulte-Waregem 8 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Anderlecht, 0 draws, 1 win for Zulte-Waregem. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Anderlecht | 1.71 | 55 % | -15.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.92 | 24 % | +2.3 % |
| 2Zulte-Waregem | 4.40 | 21 % | +7.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Anderlecht
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Zulte-Waregem
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Anderlecht | Form and statistics | Zulte-Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| 1609 | Elo | 1549 |
| 1.40 | Goals scored / match | 2.10 |
| 0.90 | Goals conceded / match | 0.70 |
| 14.4 | Shots / match | 13.2 |
| 60 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Anderlecht
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Zulte-Waregem
- Zulte-Waregem2-4Anderlecht
- Anderlecht2-3Zulte-Waregem
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Anderlecht – Zulte-Waregem?
Our model gives 1 · Anderlecht a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Anderlecht win 50 %, draw 26 %, Zulte-Waregem win 24 %.
What is the most likely score for Anderlecht – Zulte-Waregem?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
