Toulouse
3-2
Le Havre AC
Toulouse – Le Havre AC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.58 – 1.10
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Toulouse 3-2 Le Havre AC. The model predicted a win for Toulouse (47 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.58 goals for Toulouse and 1.10 for Le Havre AC. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 57 %. Over their last five matches, Toulouse took 5 points and Le Havre AC 5 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Toulouse, 1 draw, 2 wins for Le Havre AC. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Toulouse | 1.66 | 57 % | -22.4 % |
| XDraw | 4.05 | 23 % | +7.9 % |
| 2Le Havre AC | 5.00 | 19 % | +32.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Toulouse
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Le Havre AC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Toulouse
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Le Havre AC
- Le Havre AC2-1Toulouse
- Toulouse0-0Le Havre AC
- Le Havre AC1-4Toulouse
- Toulouse2-0Le Havre AC
- Le Havre AC1-0Toulouse
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Toulouse – Le Havre AC?
Final score: Toulouse 3-2 Le Havre AC. The model predicted a win for Toulouse (47 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Toulouse – Le Havre AC?
Our model gives 1 · Toulouse a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Toulouse win 47 %, draw 27 %, Le Havre AC win 26 %.