Lyon
4-0
Stade Rennais
Lyon – Stade Rennais
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.52 – 1.29
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Lyon 4-0 Stade Rennais. The model predicted a win for Lyon (42 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.52 goals for Lyon and 1.29 for Stade Rennais. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Lyon took 8 points and Stade Rennais 11 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Lyon, 0 draws, 3 wins for Stade Rennais. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lyon | 2.10 | 45 % | -10.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 26 % | +0.6 % |
| 2Stade Rennais | 3.23 | 29 % | -2.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Lyon
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Stade Rennais
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Lyon
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Stade Rennais
- Lyon4-2Stade Rennais
- Stade Rennais3-1Lyon
- Lyon4-1Stade Rennais
- Stade Rennais3-0Lyon
- Lyon2-3Stade Rennais
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lyon – Stade Rennais?
Final score: Lyon 4-0 Stade Rennais. The model predicted a win for Lyon (42 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Lyon – Stade Rennais?
Our model gives 1 · Lyon a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lyon win 42 %, draw 27 %, Stade Rennais win 30 %.