Le Mans
2-1
Lorient
Le Mans – Lorient
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.26 – 1.37
The short version
Final score: Le Mans 2-1 Lorient. The model predicted a win for Lorient (37 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.26 goals for Le Mans and 1.37 for Lorient. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Le Mans took 6 points and Lorient 5 points. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Le Mans | 2.92 | 33 % | +3.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | -11.8 % |
| 2Lorient | 2.58 | 37 % | -5.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Le Mans
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lorient
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Le Mans – Lorient?
Final score: Le Mans 2-1 Lorient. The model predicted a win for Lorient (37 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Le Mans – Lorient?
Our model gives 2 · Lorient a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Le Mans win 35 %, draw 28 %, Lorient win 37 %.