Angers
2-0
Troyes
Angers – Troyes
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.26 – 1.32
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Angers 2-0 Troyes. The model predicted a win for Troyes (38 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.26 goals for Angers and 1.32 for Troyes. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 26 %. Over their last five matches, Angers took 5 points and Troyes 4 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Angers, 0 draws, 0 wins for Troyes. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Angers | 2.08 | 46 % | -27.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | -4.1 % |
| 2Troyes | 3.65 | 26 % | +37.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Angers
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Troyes
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Angers
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Troyes
- Angers2-1Troyes
- Troyes1-4Angers
- Angers2-1Troyes
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Angers – Troyes?
Final score: Angers 2-0 Troyes. The model predicted a win for Troyes (38 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Angers – Troyes?
Our model gives 2 · Troyes a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Angers win 35 %, draw 27 %, Troyes win 38 %.