Venezia
0-2
Lazio
Venezia – Lazio
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.23 – 1.33
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Venezia 0-2 Lazio. The model predicted a win for Lazio (38 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.23 goals for Venezia and 1.33 for Lazio. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 48 %. Over their last five matches, Venezia took no points and Lazio 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Venezia, 1 draw, 1 win for Lazio. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Venezia | 3.70 | 25 % | +28.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.40 | 27 % | -5.6 % |
| 2Lazio | 1.95 | 48 % | -26.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Venezia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lazio
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Venezia
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Lazio
- Venezia0-0Lazio
- Lazio3-1Venezia
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Venezia – Lazio?
Final score: Venezia 0-2 Lazio. The model predicted a win for Lazio (38 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Venezia – Lazio?
Our model gives 2 · Lazio a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Venezia win 35 %, draw 28 %, Lazio win 38 %.