Metz
2-2
Saint-Étienne
Metz – Saint-Étienne
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 0-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.26 – 1.42
The short version
Final score: Metz 2-2 Saint-Étienne. The model predicted a win for Saint-Étienne (42 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.26 goals for Metz and 1.42 for Saint-Étienne. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 49 %. Over their last five matches, Metz took 6 points and Saint-Étienne 12 points. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Metz | 3.73 | 25 % | +14.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.48 | 26 % | -5.7 % |
| 2Saint-Étienne | 1.87 | 49 % | -21.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Metz
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Saint-Étienne
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Metz – Saint-Étienne?
Final score: Metz 2-2 Saint-Étienne. The model predicted a win for Saint-Étienne (42 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Metz – Saint-Étienne?
Our model gives 2 · Saint-Étienne a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Metz win 31 %, draw 27 %, Saint-Étienne win 42 %.