Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino
O Elvas
0-2
Uniao Leiria
O Elvas – Uniao Leiria
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.77 – 1.19
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: O Elvas 0-2 Uniao Leiria. The model predicted a win for O Elvas (54 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.77 goals for O Elvas and 1.19 for Uniao Leiria. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 15 %. Over their last five matches, O Elvas took 12 points and Uniao Leiria 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1O Elvas | 6.00 | 15 % | +222.3 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 23 % | -27.4 % |
| 2Uniao Leiria | 1.51 | 61 % | -57.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
O Elvas
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Uniao Leiria
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of O Elvas – Uniao Leiria?
Final score: O Elvas 0-2 Uniao Leiria. The model predicted a win for O Elvas (54 %): missed prediction.
Who will win O Elvas – Uniao Leiria?
Our model gives 1 · O Elvas a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: O Elvas win 54 %, draw 18 %, Uniao Leiria win 28 %.