Predictions are closed for this match.
Trabzonspor
07:00 PM
Sep 19
Galatasaray
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Trabzonspor | 3.00 | 32 % | -22.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 26 % | -8.6 % |
| 2Galatasaray | 2.20 | 43 % | +8.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Trabzonspor
Galatasaray
| Trabzonspor | Form and statistics | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| 1611 | Elo | 1764 |
| 1.20 | Goals scored / match | 2.20 |
| 1.50 | Goals conceded / match | 1.60 |
| 13.9 | Shots / match | 20.3 |
| 30 % | Win rate | 60 % |
| 7 | Rest days | 6 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 2 · Galatasaray a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Trabzonspor win 26 %, draw 25 %, Galatasaray win 49 %.
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 59 %, and both teams scoring at 60 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 3.00 for Trabzonspor, 3.70 for the draw, 2.20 for Galatasaray.
Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 07:00 PM (Süper Lig), at Papara Park.
The model leans towards Galatasaray away from home (49 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.26 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.81 for Galatasaray. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 43 %. Over their last five matches, Trabzonspor took 6 points and Galatasaray 12 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Trabzonspor, 1 draw, 3 wins for Galatasaray. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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