Sparta Rotterdam
0-4
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam – Heerenveen
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.43 – 1.59
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Sparta Rotterdam 0-4 Heerenveen. The model predicted a win for Heerenveen (40 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.43 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.59 for Heerenveen. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sparta Rotterdam took 5 points and Heerenveen 3 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Sparta Rotterdam, 0 draws, 3 wins for Heerenveen. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sparta Rotterdam | 2.52 | 38 % | -15.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.77 | 25 % | +0.6 % |
| 2Heerenveen | 2.55 | 37 % | +1.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sparta Rotterdam
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Heerenveen
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Sparta Rotterdam
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Heerenveen
- Heerenveen2-1Sparta Rotterdam
- Sparta Rotterdam0-3Heerenveen
- Sparta Rotterdam3-1Heerenveen
- Heerenveen2-0Sparta Rotterdam
- Sparta Rotterdam2-1Heerenveen
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sparta Rotterdam – Heerenveen?
Final score: Sparta Rotterdam 0-4 Heerenveen. The model predicted a win for Heerenveen (40 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam – Heerenveen?
Our model gives 2 · Heerenveen a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sparta Rotterdam win 34 %, draw 27 %, Heerenveen win 40 %.