VfB Stuttgart
0-1
Borussia Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart – Borussia Dortmund
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 1-28 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.68 – 1.58
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund. The model predicted a win for Borussia Dortmund (38 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.68 goals for VfB Stuttgart and 1.58 for Borussia Dortmund. Bookmakers say the same thing: 35 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, VfB Stuttgart took 9 points and Borussia Dortmund 15 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for VfB Stuttgart, 1 draw, 1 win for Borussia Dortmund. Over 2.5 goals: 63 %. Both teams to score: 65 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1VfB Stuttgart | 2.33 | 40 % | -13.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 25 % | -5.0 % |
| 2Borussia Dortmund | 2.67 | 35 % | +0.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
VfB Stuttgart
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Borussia Dortmund
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- VfB Stuttgart
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Borussia Dortmund
- VfB Stuttgart0-2Borussia Dortmund
- Borussia Dortmund3-3VfB Stuttgart
- Borussia Dortmund1-2VfB Stuttgart
- VfB Stuttgart5-1Borussia Dortmund
- Borussia Dortmund0-1VfB Stuttgart
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of VfB Stuttgart – Borussia Dortmund?
Final score: VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund. The model predicted a win for Borussia Dortmund (38 %): correct prediction.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart – Borussia Dortmund?
Our model gives 2 · Borussia Dortmund a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: VfB Stuttgart win 37 %, draw 25 %, Borussia Dortmund win 38 %.