Celta Vigo
5-0
Racing Santander
Celta Vigo – Racing Santander
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.45 – 1.18
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Celta Vigo 5-0 Racing Santander. The model predicted a win for Celta Vigo (45 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.45 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.18 for Racing Santander. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 53 %. Over their last five matches, Celta Vigo took 3 points and Racing Santander 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Celta Vigo, 0 draws, 0 wins for Racing Santander. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Celta Vigo | 1.80 | 53 % | -19.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 25 % | +6.7 % |
| 2Racing Santander | 4.30 | 22 % | +17.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Celta Vigo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Racing Santander
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Celta Vigo
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Racing Santander
- Racing Santander2-3Celta Vigo
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Celta Vigo – Racing Santander?
Final score: Celta Vigo 5-0 Racing Santander. The model predicted a win for Celta Vigo (45 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Celta Vigo – Racing Santander?
Our model gives 1 · Celta Vigo a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Celta Vigo win 45 %, draw 28 %, Racing Santander win 27 %.