Eldense
1-2
Eibar
Eldense – Eibar
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.09 – 1.39
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Eldense 1-2 Eibar. The model predicted a win for Eibar (43 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.09 goals for Eldense and 1.39 for Eibar. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 34 %. Over their last five matches, Eldense took 5 points and Eibar 12 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Eldense, 0 draws, 3 wins for Eibar. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Eldense | 2.70 | 35 % | -27.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.10 | 31 % | -5.3 % |
| 2Eibar | 2.75 | 34 % | +17.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Eldense
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Eibar
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Eldense
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Eibar
- Eldense1-3Eibar
- Eibar1-0Eldense
- Eibar5-1Eldense
- Eldense2-1Eibar
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Eldense – Eibar?
Final score: Eldense 1-2 Eibar. The model predicted a win for Eibar (43 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Eldense – Eibar?
Our model gives 2 · Eibar a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Eldense win 27 %, draw 31 %, Eibar win 43 %.