Castellón
5-0
Tenerife
Castellón – Tenerife
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 63 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.87 – 0.82
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Castellón 5-0 Tenerife. The model predicted a win for Castellón (63 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.87 goals for Castellón and 0.82 for Tenerife. Bookmakers say the same thing: 65 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Castellón took 13 points and Tenerife 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Castellón, 0 draws, 1 win for Tenerife. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Castellón | 1.46 | 65 % | -7.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.30 | 22 % | -4.6 % |
| 2Tenerife | 7.00 | 13 % | +2.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Castellón
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Tenerife
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Castellón
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Tenerife
- Tenerife2-0Castellón
- Castellón2-1Tenerife
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Castellón – Tenerife?
Final score: Castellón 5-0 Tenerife. The model predicted a win for Castellón (63 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Castellón – Tenerife?
Our model gives 1 · Castellón a 63 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Castellón win 63 %, draw 22 %, Tenerife win 15 %.