Nottingham Forest
0-1
Coventry City
Nottingham Forest – Coventry City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 55 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.84 – 0.97
The short version
Final score: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry City. The model predicted a win for Nottingham Forest (55 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.84 goals for Nottingham Forest and 0.97 for Coventry City. Bookmakers say the same thing: 58 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Nottingham Forest took 5 points and Coventry City 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nottingham Forest | 1.64 | 58 % | -10.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.88 | 24 % | -6.6 % |
| 2Coventry City | 5.38 | 18 % | +12.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Nottingham Forest
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Coventry City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Nottingham Forest – Coventry City?
Final score: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry City. The model predicted a win for Nottingham Forest (55 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Nottingham Forest – Coventry City?
Our model gives 1 · Nottingham Forest a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Nottingham Forest win 55 %, draw 24 %, Coventry City win 21 %.