Predictions are closed for this match.
Atromitos
06:00 PM
Sep 19
Kifisia
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Atromitos | 2.35 | 41 % | +6.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | -6.4 % |
| 2Kifisia | 3.15 | 30 % | -18.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Atromitos
Kifisia
| Atromitos | Form and statistics | Kifisia |
|---|---|---|
| 1500 | Elo | 1421 |
| 1.80 | Goals scored / match | 0.80 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded / match | 1.20 |
| 10.8 | Shots / match | 12.2 |
| 30 % | Win rate | 30 % |
| 6 | Rest days | 5 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Atromitos a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Atromitos win 45 %, draw 29 %, Kifisia win 26 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 46 %, and both teams scoring at 51 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 2.35 for Atromitos, 3.25 for the draw, 3.15 for Kifisia.
Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (Super League Greece), at Peristeri Stadium.
The model leans towards Atromitos at home (45 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.45 goals for Atromitos and 1.07 for Kifisia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 41 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Atromitos took 5 points and Kifisia 5 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Atromitos, 1 draw, 2 wins for Kifisia. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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