Paris FC
2-1
Strasbourg
Paris FC – Strasbourg
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.63 – 1.11
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Paris FC 2-1 Strasbourg. The model predicted a win for Paris FC (48 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.63 goals for Paris FC and 1.11 for Strasbourg. Bookmakers say the same thing: 53 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Paris FC took 11 points and Strasbourg 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Paris FC, 1 draw, 1 win for Strasbourg. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Paris FC | 1.80 | 53 % | -13.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.88 | 25 % | +8.1 % |
| 2Strasbourg | 4.20 | 23 % | -0.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Paris FC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Strasbourg
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Paris FC
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Strasbourg
- Strasbourg0-0Paris FC
- Paris FC2-3Strasbourg
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Paris FC – Strasbourg?
Final score: Paris FC 2-1 Strasbourg. The model predicted a win for Paris FC (48 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Paris FC – Strasbourg?
Our model gives 1 · Paris FC a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Paris FC win 48 %, draw 28 %, Strasbourg win 24 %.