Sampdoria
2-1
Catanzaro
Sampdoria – Catanzaro
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.17 – 1.26
The short version
Final score: Sampdoria 2-1 Catanzaro. The model predicted a win for Catanzaro (36 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.17 goals for Sampdoria and 1.26 for Catanzaro. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 24 %. Over their last five matches, Sampdoria took 1 point and Catanzaro 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Sampdoria, 4 draws, 0 wins for Catanzaro. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sampdoria | 1.91 | 49 % | -32.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | +1.4 % |
| 2Catanzaro | 3.88 | 24 % | +37.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sampdoria
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Catanzaro
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Sampdoria
- 4 draws
- 0 wins
- Catanzaro
- Catanzaro0-0Sampdoria
- Sampdoria0-0Catanzaro
- Catanzaro2-2Sampdoria
- Sampdoria3-3Catanzaro
- Catanzaro1-3Sampdoria
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sampdoria – Catanzaro?
Final score: Sampdoria 2-1 Catanzaro. The model predicted a win for Catanzaro (36 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Sampdoria – Catanzaro?
Our model gives 2 · Catanzaro a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sampdoria win 35 %, draw 29 %, Catanzaro win 36 %.