Gil Vicente
1-1
Maritimo
Gil Vicente – Maritimo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 55 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.66 – 0.93
The short version
Final score: Gil Vicente 1-1 Maritimo. The model predicted a win for Gil Vicente (55 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.66 goals for Gil Vicente and 0.93 for Maritimo. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 47 %. Over their last five matches, Gil Vicente took 7 points and Maritimo 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Gil Vicente | 1.98 | 47 % | +9.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | -15.1 % |
| 2Maritimo | 3.88 | 24 % | -27.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Gil Vicente
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Maritimo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Gil Vicente – Maritimo?
Final score: Gil Vicente 1-1 Maritimo. The model predicted a win for Gil Vicente (55 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Gil Vicente – Maritimo?
Our model gives 1 · Gil Vicente a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Gil Vicente win 55 %, draw 26 %, Maritimo win 19 %.