Athletic Club
0-0
Alavés
Athletic Club – Alavés
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.45 – 1.18
The short version
Final score: Athletic Club 0-0 Alavés. The model predicted a win for Athletic Club (41 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.45 goals for Athletic Club and 1.18 for Alavés. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 59 %. Over their last five matches, Athletic Club took 7 points and Alavés 7 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Athletic Club, 1 draw, 1 win for Alavés. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Athletic Club | 1.62 | 59 % | -33.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 25 % | +6.4 % |
| 2Alavés | 6.00 | 16 % | +85.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Athletic Club
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Alavés
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Athletic Club
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Alavés
- Alavés2-4Athletic Club
- Athletic Club0-1Alavés
- Athletic Club1-0Alavés
- Alavés1-1Athletic Club
- Athletic Club2-0Alavés
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Athletic Club – Alavés?
Final score: Athletic Club 0-0 Alavés. The model predicted a win for Athletic Club (41 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Athletic Club – Alavés?
Our model gives 1 · Athletic Club a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Athletic Club win 41 %, draw 28 %, Alavés win 31 %.