Predictions are closed for this match.
FC Andorra
04:15 PM
Sep 19
Sporting Gijón
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Andorra | 2.05 | 46 % | +0.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -8.7 % |
| 2Sporting Gijón | 3.55 | 27 % | -12.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
FC Andorra
Sporting Gijón
| FC Andorra | Form and statistics | Sporting Gijón |
|---|---|---|
| 1475 | Elo | 1513 |
| 1.40 | Goals scored / match | 1.20 |
| 1.70 | Goals conceded / match | 1.00 |
| 18.5 | Shots / match | 10.0 |
| 20 % | Win rate | 50 % |
| 7 | Rest days | 6 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · FC Andorra a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Andorra win 49 %, draw 26 %, Sporting Gijón win 25 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 46 %, and both teams scoring at 50 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 2.05 for FC Andorra, 3.45 for the draw, 3.55 for Sporting Gijón.
Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 04:15 PM (LaLiga 2), at Estadi Nacional d'Andorra.
The model leans towards FC Andorra at home (49 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.52 goals for FC Andorra and 1.01 for Sporting Gijón. Bookmakers say the same thing: 46 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, FC Andorra took 3 points and Sporting Gijón 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for FC Andorra, 2 draws, 1 win for Sporting Gijón. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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