Kristiansund BK
04:00 PM
Sep 19
Rosenborg
Kristiansund BK – Rosenborg
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.13 – 2.03
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61 %
- Both teams to score
- 59 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Rosenborg away from home (55 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.13 goals for Kristiansund BK and 2.03 for Rosenborg. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 61 %. Over their last five matches, Kristiansund BK took 7 points and Rosenborg 12 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Kristiansund BK, 1 draw, 3 wins for Rosenborg. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kristiansund BK | 5.00 | 19 % | +13.0 % |
| XDraw | 4.60 | 20 % | +4.7 % |
| 2Rosenborg | 1.55 | 61 % | -15.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Kristiansund BK
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Rosenborg
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Kristiansund BK | Form and statistics | Rosenborg |
|---|---|---|
| 1449 | Elo | 1592 |
| 0.90 | Goals scored / match | 2.90 |
| 1.90 | Goals conceded / match | 1.30 |
| 12.6 | Shots / match | 15.3 |
| 20 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Kristiansund BK
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Rosenborg
- Rosenborg3-0Kristiansund BK
- Kristiansund BK4-1Rosenborg
- Rosenborg1-1Kristiansund BK
- Kristiansund BK0-4Rosenborg
- Rosenborg2-1Kristiansund BK
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kristiansund BK – Rosenborg?
Our model gives 2 · Rosenborg a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kristiansund BK win 23 %, draw 23 %, Rosenborg win 55 %.
What is the most likely score for Kristiansund BK – Rosenborg?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.