St Mirren
0-3
Dundee United
St Mirren – Dundee United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.54 – 1.14
The short version
Final score: St Mirren 0-3 Dundee United. The model predicted a win for St Mirren (44 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.54 goals for St Mirren and 1.14 for Dundee United. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, St Mirren took 7 points and Dundee United 4 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for St Mirren, 1 draw, 2 wins for Dundee United. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1St Mirren | 2.23 | 42 % | -1.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | +3.5 % |
| 2Dundee United | 2.85 | 33 % | -19.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
St Mirren
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Dundee United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- St Mirren
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Dundee United
- St Mirren1-1Dundee United
- Dundee United2-1St Mirren
- St Mirren2-0Dundee United
- Dundee United3-1St Mirren
- Dundee United0-2St Mirren
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of St Mirren – Dundee United?
Final score: St Mirren 0-3 Dundee United. The model predicted a win for St Mirren (44 %): missed prediction.
Who will win St Mirren – Dundee United?
Our model gives 1 · St Mirren a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: St Mirren win 44 %, draw 28 %, Dundee United win 28 %.