St Johnstone
1-1
Falkirk
St Johnstone – Falkirk
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.20 – 1.30
The short version
Final score: St Johnstone 1-1 Falkirk. The model predicted a win for Falkirk (37 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.20 goals for St Johnstone and 1.30 for Falkirk. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 28 %. Over their last five matches, St Johnstone took 4 points and Falkirk 5 points. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1St Johnstone | 2.10 | 44 % | -32.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.38 | 28 % | +4.6 % |
| 2Falkirk | 3.33 | 28 % | +22.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
St Johnstone
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Falkirk
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of St Johnstone – Falkirk?
Final score: St Johnstone 1-1 Falkirk. The model predicted a win for Falkirk (37 %): missed prediction.
Who will win St Johnstone – Falkirk?
Our model gives 2 · Falkirk a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: St Johnstone win 32 %, draw 31 %, Falkirk win 37 %.