Hibernian
1-1
Aberdeen
Hibernian – Aberdeen
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.71 – 1.05
The short version
Final score: Hibernian 1-1 Aberdeen. The model predicted a win for Hibernian (54 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.71 goals for Hibernian and 1.05 for Aberdeen. Bookmakers say the same thing: 54 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Hibernian took 3 points and Aberdeen 4 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Hibernian, 0 draws, 2 wins for Aberdeen. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hibernian | 1.74 | 54 % | -6.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | -6.4 % |
| 2Aberdeen | 4.50 | 21 % | -7.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Hibernian
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Aberdeen
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Hibernian
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Aberdeen
- Aberdeen2-0Hibernian
- Hibernian2-0Aberdeen
- Aberdeen1-2Hibernian
- Aberdeen1-0Hibernian
- Hibernian2-0Aberdeen
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Hibernian – Aberdeen?
Final score: Hibernian 1-1 Aberdeen. The model predicted a win for Hibernian (54 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Hibernian – Aberdeen?
Our model gives 1 · Hibernian a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Hibernian win 54 %, draw 26 %, Aberdeen win 20 %.