Dundee
2-1
Motherwell
Dundee – Motherwell
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 0-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.26 – 1.52
The short version
Final score: Dundee 2-1 Motherwell. The model predicted a win for Motherwell (40 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.26 goals for Dundee and 1.52 for Motherwell. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Dundee took 7 points and Motherwell 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Dundee, 1 draw, 3 wins for Motherwell. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Dundee | 2.98 | 31 % | -7.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.52 | 27 % | +0.9 % |
| 2Motherwell | 2.23 | 42 % | -10.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Dundee
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Motherwell
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Dundee
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Motherwell
- Dundee2-1Motherwell
- Motherwell1-0Dundee
- Dundee1-1Motherwell
- Dundee1-2Motherwell
- Motherwell2-1Dundee
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Dundee – Motherwell?
Final score: Dundee 2-1 Motherwell. The model predicted a win for Motherwell (40 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Dundee – Motherwell?
Our model gives 2 · Motherwell a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Dundee win 31 %, draw 29 %, Motherwell win 40 %.