Kocaelispor
2-0
Gaziantep FK
Kocaelispor – Gaziantep FK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.31 – 1.10
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Kocaelispor 2-0 Gaziantep FK. The model predicted a win for Kocaelispor (40 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.31 goals for Kocaelispor and 1.10 for Gaziantep FK. Bookmakers say the same thing: 38 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Kocaelispor took 9 points and Gaziantep FK 8 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Kocaelispor, 0 draws, 1 win for Gaziantep FK. Over 2.5 goals: 43 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kocaelispor | 2.50 | 38 % | +0.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.00 | 31 % | -10.2 % |
| 2Gaziantep FK | 3.05 | 31 % | -8.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Kocaelispor
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Gaziantep FK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Kocaelispor
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Gaziantep FK
- Kocaelispor3-0Gaziantep FK
- Gaziantep FK2-0Kocaelispor
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Kocaelispor – Gaziantep FK?
Final score: Kocaelispor 2-0 Gaziantep FK. The model predicted a win for Kocaelispor (40 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Kocaelispor – Gaziantep FK?
Our model gives 1 · Kocaelispor a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kocaelispor win 40 %, draw 30 %, Gaziantep FK win 30 %.