OH Leuven
04:00 PM
Sep 19
RAAL La Louvière
OH Leuven – RAAL La Louvière
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.45 – 1.15
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards OH Leuven at home (42 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.45 goals for OH Leuven and 1.15 for RAAL La Louvière. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, OH Leuven took 1 point and RAAL La Louvière 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for OH Leuven, 1 draw, 1 win for RAAL La Louvière. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1OH Leuven | 2.10 | 45 % | -12.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | -2.4 % |
| 2RAAL La Louvière | 3.45 | 27 % | +0.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
OH Leuven
- Last 5 matches
- At home
RAAL La Louvière
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| OH Leuven | Form and statistics | RAAL La Louvière |
|---|---|---|
| 1399 | Elo | 1420 |
| 0.80 | Goals scored / match | 1.20 |
| 1.80 | Goals conceded / match | 2.10 |
| 13.1 | Shots / match | 11.5 |
| 10 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- OH Leuven
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- RAAL La Louvière
- RAAL La Louvière0-0OH Leuven
- OH Leuven1-2RAAL La Louvière
Frequently asked questions
Who will win OH Leuven – RAAL La Louvière?
Our model gives 1 · OH Leuven a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: OH Leuven win 42 %, draw 29 %, RAAL La Louvière win 29 %.
What is the most likely score for OH Leuven – RAAL La Louvière?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
