Lincoln City
1-2
Swansea City
Lincoln City – Swansea City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.35 – 1.19
The short version
Final score: Lincoln City 1-2 Swansea City. The model predicted a win for Lincoln City (39 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.35 goals for Lincoln City and 1.19 for Swansea City. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 31 %. Over their last five matches, Lincoln City took 8 points and Swansea City 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lincoln City | 3.08 | 31 % | +18.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.27 | 29 % | -9.4 % |
| 2Swansea City | 2.35 | 40 % | -20.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Lincoln City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Swansea City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lincoln City – Swansea City?
Final score: Lincoln City 1-2 Swansea City. The model predicted a win for Lincoln City (39 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Lincoln City – Swansea City?
Our model gives 1 · Lincoln City a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lincoln City win 39 %, draw 28 %, Swansea City win 34 %.