Newcastle United
2-1
Hull City
Newcastle United – Hull City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 60 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.90 – 0.98
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Newcastle United 2-1 Hull City. The model predicted a win for Newcastle United (60 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.90 goals for Newcastle United and 0.98 for Hull City. Bookmakers say the same thing: 60 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Newcastle United took 10 points and Hull City 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Newcastle United | 1.60 | 60 % | -4.0 % |
| XDraw | 4.40 | 22 % | -1.3 % |
| 2Hull City | 5.13 | 19 % | -10.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Newcastle United
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Hull City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Newcastle United – Hull City?
Final score: Newcastle United 2-1 Hull City. The model predicted a win for Newcastle United (60 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Newcastle United – Hull City?
Our model gives 1 · Newcastle United a 60 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Newcastle United win 60 %, draw 22 %, Hull City win 18 %.