Everton
1-0
Ipswich Town
Everton – Ipswich Town
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 57 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.83 – 1.03
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Everton 1-0 Ipswich Town. The model predicted a win for Everton (57 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.83 goals for Everton and 1.03 for Ipswich Town. Bookmakers say the same thing: 55 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Everton took 9 points and Ipswich Town 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Everton, 1 draw, 0 wins for Ipswich Town. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Everton | 1.72 | 55 % | -1.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.90 | 24 % | -9.6 % |
| 2Ipswich Town | 4.50 | 21 % | -12.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Everton
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Ipswich Town
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Everton
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Ipswich Town
- Everton2-2Ipswich Town
- Ipswich Town0-2Everton
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Everton – Ipswich Town?
Final score: Everton 1-0 Ipswich Town. The model predicted a win for Everton (57 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Everton – Ipswich Town?
Our model gives 1 · Everton a 57 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Everton win 57 %, draw 23 %, Ipswich Town win 20 %.