Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-4
Mainz
Borussia Mönchengladbach – Mainz
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.31 – 1.88
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 Mainz. The model predicted a win for Mainz (49 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.31 goals for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1.88 for Mainz. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Borussia Mönchengladbach took 6 points and Mainz 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 3 draws, 1 win for Mainz. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3.15 | 30 % | -22.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | -5.1 % |
| 2Mainz | 2.10 | 45 % | +3.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Mainz
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
- 3 draws
- 1 win
- Mainz
- Borussia Mönchengladbach1-1Mainz
- Mainz0-1Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Borussia Mönchengladbach1-3Mainz
- Mainz1-1Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Mainz1-1Borussia Mönchengladbach
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Borussia Mönchengladbach – Mainz?
Final score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 Mainz. The model predicted a win for Mainz (49 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach – Mainz?
Our model gives 2 · Mainz a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Borussia Mönchengladbach win 25 %, draw 26 %, Mainz win 49 %.