Västerås SK
2-0
Malmö FF
Västerås SK – Malmö FF
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 0-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.31 – 1.47
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Västerås SK 2-0 Malmö FF. The model predicted a win for Malmö FF (41 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.31 goals for Västerås SK and 1.47 for Malmö FF. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 48 %. Over their last five matches, Västerås SK took 7 points and Malmö FF 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Västerås SK, 1 draw, 1 win for Malmö FF. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Västerås SK | 3.50 | 27 % | +10.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | +1.6 % |
| 2Malmö FF | 1.95 | 48 % | -19.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Västerås SK
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Malmö FF
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Västerås SK
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Malmö FF
- Malmö FF2-3Västerås SK
- Västerås SK1-1Malmö FF
- Malmö FF1-0Västerås SK
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Västerås SK – Malmö FF?
Final score: Västerås SK 2-0 Malmö FF. The model predicted a win for Malmö FF (41 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Västerås SK – Malmö FF?
Our model gives 2 · Malmö FF a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Västerås SK win 31 %, draw 27 %, Malmö FF win 41 %.