Udinese
0-1
Cagliari
Udinese – Cagliari
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.34 – 1.13
The short version
Final score: Udinese 0-1 Cagliari. The model predicted a win for Udinese (40 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.34 goals for Udinese and 1.13 for Cagliari. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Udinese took 7 points and Cagliari 9 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Udinese, 2 draws, 0 wins for Cagliari. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Udinese | 2.23 | 42 % | -9.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.10 | 30 % | -8.6 % |
| 2Cagliari | 3.40 | 28 % | +2.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Udinese
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Cagliari
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Udinese
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Cagliari
- Cagliari0-2Udinese
- Udinese1-1Cagliari
- Cagliari1-2Udinese
- Udinese2-0Cagliari
- Udinese1-1Cagliari
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Udinese – Cagliari?
Final score: Udinese 0-1 Cagliari. The model predicted a win for Udinese (40 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Udinese – Cagliari?
Our model gives 1 · Udinese a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Udinese win 40 %, draw 29 %, Cagliari win 30 %.