Palermo
2-1
Padova
Palermo – Padova
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 70 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.10 – 0.77
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Palermo 2-1 Padova. The model predicted a win for Palermo (70 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.10 goals for Palermo and 0.77 for Padova. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 62 %. Over their last five matches, Palermo took 13 points and Padova 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Palermo, 0 draws, 0 wins for Padova. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Palermo | 1.52 | 62 % | +5.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | -21.1 % |
| 2Padova | 6.00 | 16 % | -33.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Palermo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Padova
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Palermo
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Padova
- Padova0-1Palermo
- Palermo1-0Padova
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Palermo – Padova?
Final score: Palermo 2-1 Padova. The model predicted a win for Palermo (70 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Palermo – Padova?
Our model gives 1 · Palermo a 70 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Palermo win 70 %, draw 19 %, Padova win 11 %.