Carrarese
0-1
Benevento
Carrarese – Benevento
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.25 – 1.33
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Carrarese 0-1 Benevento. The model predicted a win for Benevento (36 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.25 goals for Carrarese and 1.33 for Benevento. Bookmakers say the same thing: 40 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Carrarese took 1 point and Benevento 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Carrarese | 3.02 | 31 % | +6.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.33 | 28 % | -4.6 % |
| 2Benevento | 2.35 | 40 % | -15.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Carrarese
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Benevento
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Carrarese – Benevento?
Final score: Carrarese 0-1 Benevento. The model predicted a win for Benevento (36 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Carrarese – Benevento?
Our model gives 2 · Benevento a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Carrarese win 35 %, draw 29 %, Benevento win 36 %.