Boulogne
1-2
Nantes
Boulogne – Nantes
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.05 – 1.22
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Boulogne 1-2 Nantes. The model predicted a win for Nantes (39 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.05 goals for Boulogne and 1.22 for Nantes. Bookmakers say the same thing: 44 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Boulogne took 4 points and Nantes 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 40 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Boulogne | 3.45 | 27 % | +9.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.08 | 30 % | -8.7 % |
| 2Nantes | 2.10 | 44 % | -18.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Boulogne
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Nantes
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Boulogne – Nantes?
Final score: Boulogne 1-2 Nantes. The model predicted a win for Nantes (39 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Boulogne – Nantes?
Our model gives 2 · Nantes a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Boulogne win 32 %, draw 30 %, Nantes win 39 %.